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The Center for Human Progress is a think-and-do tank combining cultural evolution and economics. We work on the human side of progress that often prevents good ideas from working.

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Approach

Find Archimedes' levers — and the right team to move the world.

We have many of the ideas and the technology needed to solve major problems. So why are we still stuck? Because solutions often lack the "social software" — the institutions, incentives, norms, and culture — that decides whether good ideas survive and spread. Our approach is interdisciplinary and empirical. It helps us identify where to act, and then to build, test, iterate, and scale with partners in the real world.

Archimedes' lever principle

Archimedes said: Give me a lever long enough and a place to stand, and I will move the world. Our work is about finding those levers in society: changes that are feasible for a small group of people to pull off, but powerful enough to shift whole systems.

What “levers” look like in practice:

Institutions & Incentives

Policies, governance structures, and accountability mechanisms that reshape behavior at scale.

Norms & Coordination

Cultural norms and coordination rules that determine whether reforms stick or policies fail.

Capability & Deployment

Actually getting technology and policy to work in the messy real world (implementation capacity, political constraints, feedback loops).

The bottleneck is political and social

The hardest problems left are not knowledge problems. As the political scientist, Francis Fukuyama explained in a recent article, Superintelligence isn’t Enough to solve the world’s problems, the problems are often in the people layer. As one example, the reason cities in parts of the developing world lack clean water is not a lack of knowledge of how to implement a municipal water supply.

“People do not want to pay the higher costs engendered by a new water system; unionized workers in the municipal water authority do not want to lose their jobs to automation; business owners do not want the disruption that will occur as the streets are torn up for new pipes; the finance minister believes there are other priorities and can’t raise taxes to pay for a new system. In many poor countries, there are water mafias that buy water where it is cheap, and resell it at extortionate prices. They are armed and ready to use violence if you get in their way. A superintelligent machine may be able to understand these problems, but it will have no way of overcoming them. We already know what a good municipal water system looks like; what we don’t have is an implementation plan.”

francis Fukuyama headshot

Francis Fukuyama

Olivier Nomellini Senior Fellow at Stanford University's Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies

In software, the gap between ideas and implementation is small. In society, the frictions are large and the barriers are created by people, incentives, norms, and institutions. An ideal solution often runs against competing interests and real constraints.

A network model

The Center is a hub-and-spoke network. We start from the problem, then matchmake the people and papers to implement policies. When Zanzibar's new city needed land valuation expertise, we brought on the economists who had run exactly those field experiments with other governments. We amplify our collaborators' work and carry it through our policy pathways.

Inspired by networks like LSE's International Growth Centre, we aim to shape the policies that will determine human progress in the coming decades.

Built like a startup. Embedded in the real world.

Universities produce much of the research we build on, and many of our affiliates already work directly with governments. Our role is to bring researchers and practitioners together around specific problems, test ideas in schools, cities, and governments, and learn where they succeed or fail. We use data and theory driven discovery to identify bottlenecks and barriers to progress and how overcome them, and then try to test these in the world. If your theories don't work in the real world, they don't work at all.

Evaluation Criteria

Our reward function is Impact Return on Information, and Information Return on Investment. What do we need to know to change a system and how much will it cost to get that information? We take a portfolio approach. We expect to fail most of the time, but our successes should outweigh those failures. We want enough confidence in the timeframe real world constraints demand. A well-grounded direction in three months often beats a near-certain answer in three years.


We evaluate projects against 10 criteria designed to prioritize research that is testable, evidence-based, and actionable.

Project selection criteria (10-point checklist):

  • 1: Theory completeness

    What is the theory and how complete is it?

  • 2: Current knowledge

    What do we know and how confident are we?

  • 3: World-change potential

    Why does this matter compared to other things we could do: what changes in the world if we conduct this research? What happens if we don't?

  • 4: Method fit

    Why is this the best way to get a sufficiently convincing answer?

  • 5: Decision readiness

    What complementary evidence is needed before acting?

  • 6: Theory of change

    What’s the causal pathway from action to outcome?

  • 7: System effects

    How does it positively and negatively affect the system and connected systems? What are the externalities and spillovers? Over what timeframe? Can we course correct?

  • 8: Portability

    Can insights apply across contexts? How do you know?

  • 9: Feasibility

    Is it politically feasible, economically viable, and aligned with constraints?

  • 10: Speed

    Can we deliver timely, implementable recommendations?

How funding works

We are currently actively seeking funding of two kinds:

Core philanthropy funds CHP as the engine that connects, matchmakes, and scales.
Initiative gifts fund specific projects, flowing to fieldwork through our network partners. These will need to be discussed with the relevant project leads and researchers.

From research to policy, by design

We don’t hope that results reach decision-makers. We’ve built the pathways to get the necessary information to the right people. Our work connects to global governance and implementation through two primary pathways:

Global Solutions Initiative (GSI)

A route to research-driven policy influence across G7/G20 and related forums.

UNDP

Partnership pathways for human development frameworks and global implementation ecosystems.

Zanzibar beach coastal area

Building a new city in Zanzibar, including an AI-driven transformation of the school system

Zanzibar is developing a "startup city" modeled after hubs like Singapore, Hong Kong, and Shenzhen to serve as a blueprint for African development. However, progress is hindered by high unemployment and a broken educational pipeline, from primary schooling to higher education to low-skill employment opportunities. Fixing any one of these without fixing the others means educated people with no jobs or jobs that don’t have a pipeline of locals who can fill them.

Major milestones include the launch of the first international Indian Institute for Technology (IIT) in 2023, and the African School of Economics in 2024. An AI-driven education trial for schools is underway and initiatives like Silicon Zanzibar and an AI Transformation Unit are designed to rapidly develop the island. Scale depends on fixing the talent pipeline: redesigning schools to feed world-class universities, which then fuel the job market. This process is being documented for global replication.

Why philanthropy unlocks the approach

Philanthropic support enables us to identify promising interventions, assemble teams, and test ideas in practice. Core funding supports the work that connects projects and helps useful findings lead to action.

Your support enables:

  • Faster, more ambitious problem-solving that keeps pace with technological change

  • A solutions-centered pipeline of talent and operators (not just researchers)

  • A year-round program translating insights into policy and action